Description

This analysis provides a forecast of QQQ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 518.790417 551.706152 585.914228 624.179974 665.863097 709.972345 760.282758
2026-01-04 473.868660 518.837942 567.438129 624.077815 688.540645 759.937609 845.430088
2026-01-11 446.734477 499.217061 557.527421 627.516814 709.772737 804.032634 921.169446
2026-01-18 424.067396 481.706599 547.191099 627.709837 724.895058 839.503125 986.528156
2026-01-25 408.237657 470.387867 542.391796 632.839627 744.649774 879.987832 1058.777737
2026-02-01 395.167936 461.131060 538.897366 638.483680 764.300564 920.298328 1132.115028
2026-02-08 384.355057 453.710131 536.789329 645.086347 784.711710 961.795292 1208.624038
2026-02-15 372.095212 443.709448 530.710706 645.928107 797.206999 993.054273 1272.686017
2026-02-22 360.908834 434.392087 524.829615 646.369930 808.696939 1022.970294 1336.033726
2026-03-01 351.924553 427.350788 521.338630 649.450210 823.411916 1057.456617 1407.293811
2026-03-08 341.883226 418.468473 514.970953 648.205139 831.875839 1083.346463 1467.281552
2026-03-15 333.450233 411.275258 510.400350 648.966081 842.826191 1112.863939 1533.933629
2026-03-22 325.130309 403.932931 505.336838 648.785692 852.355192 1140.713098 1599.762213
2026-03-29 317.473704 397.156190 500.701101 648.864098 862.039101 1168.980383 1667.682390
2026-04-05 311.637603 392.560036 498.753963 652.471168 876.751415 1205.129368 1750.025405
2026-04-12 304.939798 386.546211 494.601110 652.675891 886.308508 1233.739957 1821.773366
2026-04-19 300.462736 383.369076 494.174683 658.080639 903.648676 1274.910061 1916.754343
2026-04-26 296.422221 380.626754 494.196754 664.028252 921.911764 1318.247717 2018.205704
2026-05-03 292.931562 378.503210 494.957265 670.987213 941.882477 1365.140145 2128.990813
2026-05-10 287.665687 373.724701 491.761385 671.874488 952.338910 1397.008306 2215.206580
2026-05-17 282.528095 368.964463 488.411296 672.340210 962.034582 1427.940367 2301.723761
2026-05-24 278.485567 365.625338 486.973631 675.587261 976.191484 1466.888114 2405.817235
2026-05-31 273.265303 360.453519 482.694381 674.274746 982.832415 1493.262214 2487.809846